{ "title": "Ontario 2022 municipal elections: what it took to win a council seat", "publisher": "forelection.ca", "page": "https://forelection.ca/data/votes-to-win/", "attribution": "Contains information licensed under the Open Government Licence, Ontario.", "election": { "province": "ON", "type": "municipal general", "voting_day": "2022-10-24" }, "sources": [ { "publisher": "Ontario Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing (Ontario Data Catalogue)", "name": "2022 Municipal Election - Successful Candidate Data as of Voting Day", "url": "https://data.ontario.ca/dataset/a5871234-ed52-4c79-af33-b205aee59fd3/resource/7f408f5e-71c7-43fa-82bf-5eb8be77b9a7/download/2022_municipal_election_-_successful_candidate_data_as_of_voting_day.csv", "licence": "Open Government Licence - Ontario", "retrieved": "2026-09-30" }, { "publisher": "Ontario Ministry of Municipal Affairs and Housing (Ontario Data Catalogue)", "name": "2022 Municipal Election - Municipal Data", "url": "https://data.ontario.ca/dataset/a5871234-ed52-4c79-af33-b205aee59fd3/resource/43aa0bb3-902b-4f19-8d55-8df940188746/download/2022_municipal_election_-_municipal_data.csv", "licence": "Open Government Licence - Ontario", "retrieved": "2026-09-30" }, { "publisher": "Association of Municipalities of Ontario (AMO), 2022 Ontario Municipal Elections results site", "name": "Per-municipality candidate results incl. unsuccessful candidates", "url": "https://elections2022.amo.on.ca/web/", "retrieved": "2026-09-30" }, { "publisher": "AMO", "name": "2022 municipal election results", "url": "https://elections2022.amo.on.ca/web/" } ], "method": { "council_contest": "One race for council seats: a ward race or a municipality-wide (at-large) race. Head of council, deputy mayor/reeve and regional chair races are excluded from council statistics. Regional councillors are counted as council seats only where the ministry file counts them (local and regional councillors); regional-only councillors (e.g. Niagara, Waterloo lower tiers) are excluded.", "last_seat_votes": "Votes for the elected candidate with the fewest votes in that race.", "first_loser_votes": "Votes for the unsuccessful candidate with the most votes in that race.", "margin_last_seat": "last_seat_votes minus first_loser_votes.", "last_seat_share_of_ballots": "At-large races only: last_seat_votes divided by electors who voted in the municipality. Voters can mark several councillors, so shares across winners add to more than 100%.", "winner_share_of_contest_votes": "Single-seat races only: winner votes divided by all votes cast in that race.", "turnout": "NUMBER_OF_ELECTORS_WHO_VOTED / NUMBER_OF_ELECTORS from the ministry municipal file (AMO fallback where blank).", "lowest_winning_votes": "Per municipality: the smallest last_seat_votes across its contested council races.", "reconciliation": "Winner vote totals from AMO were compared with the ministry file for each municipality. Identical in 396 of 414. Where the lowest winning total differs (7 municipalities, data_conflict = material) the municipality is excluded from province-wide medians." }, "province_summary": { "municipalities": 414, "material_conflicts_excluded": 7, "minor_conflicts": 11, "council_seats_mmah": 2258, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 360, "council_seats_acclaimed_pct": 0.1594, "all_offices_mmah": 2798, "council_contests_amo": 1137, "council_contests_acclaimed": 207, "municipalities_fully_acclaimed_council": 42, "turnout_median": 0.3624, "turnout_pooled": 0.3158, "turnout_reported": 391, "lowest_winning_votes_median": 536, "lowest_winning_votes_n": 365, "at_large": { "n": 221, "median_seats": 4, "median_candidates": 8, "median_last_seat_votes": 670, "median_last_seat_share_of_ballots": 0.4666, "median_margin_last_seat": 62, "p25_share": 0.4076, "p75_share": 0.5255, "share_by_candidates_per_seat": { "1-1.5": { "races": 61, "median_share": 0.5419 }, "1.5-2": { "races": 86, "median_share": 0.4652 }, "2-3": { "races": 65, "median_share": 0.4057 }, "3-99": { "races": 9, "median_share": 0.3387 } } }, "ward": { "contested_contests": 674, "single_seat_contests": 511, "median_last_seat_votes": 995, "median_winner_share_single_seat": 0.5592, "median_margin": 282.5 }, "contested_council_contests_with_margin": 894, "margin_under_10": 50, "margin_under_50": 187, "margin_under_100": 301, "ties": 4, "negative_margin_anomalies": 0, "by_electors": [ { "electors_from": 0, "electors_to": 5000, "municipalities": 179, "median_turnout": 0.3921, "median_lowest_winning_votes": 258, "at_large_n": 126, "median_at_large_last_seat_votes": 292.5, "median_at_large_share": 0.4779, "ward_contests": 47, "median_ward_last_seat_votes": 248 }, { "electors_from": 5000, "electors_to": 20000, "municipalities": 156, "median_turnout": 0.3545, "median_lowest_winning_votes": 729, "at_large_n": 78, "median_at_large_last_seat_votes": 1502, "median_at_large_share": 0.4473, "ward_contests": 228, "median_ward_last_seat_votes": 531 }, { "electors_from": 20000, "electors_to": 100000, "municipalities": 49, "median_turnout": 0.3056, "median_lowest_winning_votes": 980, "at_large_n": 13, "median_at_large_last_seat_votes": 3598, "median_at_large_share": 0.3593, "ward_contests": 224, "median_ward_last_seat_votes": 1213 }, { "electors_from": 100000, "electors_to": 1000000000, "municipalities": 18, "median_turnout": 0.2771, "median_lowest_winning_votes": 1468.5, "at_large_n": 4, "median_at_large_last_seat_votes": 18949, "median_at_large_share": 0.4, "ward_contests": 175, "median_ward_last_seat_votes": 3318 } ], "system_mmah": { "Ward": 169, "At-large": 245 }, "system_derived": { "ward": 143, "at_large": 247, "mixed": 24 }, "incumbents_among_winners_mmah": 1635 }, "rows": [ { "municipality": "Addington Highlands Tp", "amo_name": "Addington Highlands, Township of", "electors": 4549, "voted": 1539, "turnout": 0.3383, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 2534, "tier": "Lower", "upper_tier": "County of Lennox & Addington", "system_mmah": "Ward", "council_size_2022_mmah": 5, "council_seats_mmah": 4, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 0, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 4, "all_seats_mmah": 5, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": 366, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": null, "head_of_council": { "office": "Reeve", "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 980, "first_loser_votes": 522, "margin_last_seat": 458, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.6525 }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Councillor, Ward 1", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 2, "candidates": 3, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 377, "first_loser_votes": 368, "incumbents_elected": 2, "margin_last_seat": 9 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 2", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 2, "candidates": 4, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 366, "first_loser_votes": 289, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 77 } ], "council_seats_amo": 4, "system_derived": "ward", "lowest_winning_votes": 366, "wards": { "contested": 2, "acclaimed": 0, "median_last_seat_votes": 371.5, "min_last_seat_votes": 366, "max_last_seat_votes": 377, "closest_margin": 9 }, "reconciled_with_mmah": true, "data_conflict": null }, { "municipality": "Adelaide-Metcalfe Tp", "amo_name": "Adelaide Metcalfe, Township of", "electors": 2464, "voted": 896, "turnout": 0.3636, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 3011, "tier": "Lower", "upper_tier": "County of Middlesex", "system_mmah": "At-large", "council_size_2022_mmah": 5, "council_seats_mmah": 4, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 0, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 3, "all_seats_mmah": 5, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": 455, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": null, "head_of_council": { "office": "Mayor", "candidates": 1, "acclaimed": true, "last_seat_votes": null, "first_loser_votes": null, "margin_last_seat": null, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": null }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Councillor", "kind": "council", "scope": "at_large", "seats": 4, "candidates": 7, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 455, "first_loser_votes": 439, "incumbents_elected": 2, "margin_last_seat": 16, "last_seat_share_of_ballots": 0.5078 } ], "council_seats_amo": 4, "system_derived": "at_large", "lowest_winning_votes": 455, "at_large": { "seats": 4, "candidates": 7, "last_seat_votes": 455, "first_loser_votes": 439, "margin_last_seat": 16, "last_seat_share_of_ballots": 0.5078 }, "reconciled_with_mmah": true, "data_conflict": null }, { "municipality": "Adjala-Tosorontio Tp", "amo_name": "Adjala-Tosorontio, Township of", "electors": 8679, "voted": 3604, "turnout": 0.4153, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 10989, "tier": "Lower", "upper_tier": "County of Simcoe", "system_mmah": "Ward", "council_size_2022_mmah": 7, "council_seats_mmah": 5, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 0, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 3, "all_seats_mmah": 7, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": 322, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": null, "head_of_council": { "office": "Mayor", "candidates": 3, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 1608, "first_loser_votes": 1123, "margin_last_seat": 485, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.4489 }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Councillor, Ward 1", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 403, "first_loser_votes": 191, "incumbents_elected": 0, "margin_last_seat": 212, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.6785 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 2", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 455, "first_loser_votes": 228, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 227, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.6662 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 3", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 3, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 434, "first_loser_votes": 189, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 245, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.6576 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 4", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 4, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 322, "first_loser_votes": 312, "incumbents_elected": 0, "margin_last_seat": 10, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.3542 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 5", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 356, "first_loser_votes": 334, "incumbents_elected": 0, "margin_last_seat": 22, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.5159 } ], "council_seats_amo": 5, "system_derived": "ward", "lowest_winning_votes": 322, "wards": { "contested": 5, "acclaimed": 0, "median_last_seat_votes": 403, "min_last_seat_votes": 322, "max_last_seat_votes": 455, "closest_margin": 10 }, "reconciled_with_mmah": true, "data_conflict": null }, { "municipality": "Admaston-Bromley Tp", "amo_name": "Admaston/Bromley, Township of", "electors": 3005, "voted": 1321, "turnout": 0.4396, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 2995, "tier": "Lower", "upper_tier": "County of Renfrew", "system_mmah": "At-large", "council_size_2022_mmah": 5, "council_seats_mmah": 4, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 0, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 2, "all_seats_mmah": 5, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": 679, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": null, "head_of_council": { "office": "Mayor", "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 718, "first_loser_votes": 584, "margin_last_seat": 134, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.5515 }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Councillor", "kind": "council", "scope": "at_large", "seats": 4, "candidates": 6, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 679, "first_loser_votes": 598, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 81, "last_seat_share_of_ballots": 0.514 } ], "council_seats_amo": 4, "system_derived": "at_large", "lowest_winning_votes": 679, "at_large": { "seats": 4, "candidates": 6, "last_seat_votes": 679, "first_loser_votes": 598, "margin_last_seat": 81, "last_seat_share_of_ballots": 0.514 }, "reconciled_with_mmah": true, "data_conflict": null }, { "municipality": "Ajax T", "amo_name": "Ajax, Town of", "electors": 85443, "voted": 19205, "turnout": 0.2248, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 126666, "tier": "Lower", "upper_tier": "Regional Municipality of Durham", "system_mmah": "Ward", "council_size_2022_mmah": 7, "council_seats_mmah": 6, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 0, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 6, "all_seats_mmah": 7, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": 1667, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": true, "head_of_council": { "office": "Mayor", "candidates": 4, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 11691, "first_loser_votes": 3481, "margin_last_seat": 8210, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.6232 }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Regional Councillor, Ward 1", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 5108, "first_loser_votes": 1222, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 3886, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.807 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 1", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 3, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 4475, "first_loser_votes": 962, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 3513, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.7105 }, { "office": "Regional Councillor, Ward 2", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 3, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 3066, "first_loser_votes": 1156, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 1910, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.5877 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 2", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 5, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 1667, "first_loser_votes": 1634, "incumbents_elected": 0, "margin_last_seat": 33, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.3122 }, { "office": "Regional Councillor, Ward 3", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 5095, "first_loser_votes": 1811, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 3284, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.7378 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 3", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 6117, "first_loser_votes": 824, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 5293, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.8813 } ], "council_seats_amo": 6, "system_derived": "ward", "lowest_winning_votes": 1667, "wards": { "contested": 6, "acclaimed": 0, "median_last_seat_votes": 4785, "min_last_seat_votes": 1667, "max_last_seat_votes": 6117, "closest_margin": 33 }, "reconciled_with_mmah": true, "data_conflict": null }, { "municipality": "Alberton Tp", "amo_name": "Alberton, Township of", "electors": 733, "voted": 353, "turnout": 0.4816, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 954, "tier": "Single", "upper_tier": null, "system_mmah": "At-large", "council_size_2022_mmah": 5, "council_seats_mmah": 4, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 4, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 5, "all_seats_mmah": 5, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": null, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": null, "head_of_council": { "office": "Reeve", "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 194, "first_loser_votes": 146, "margin_last_seat": 48, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.5706 }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Councillor", "kind": "council", "scope": "at_large", "seats": 4, "candidates": 4, "acclaimed": true, "last_seat_votes": null, "first_loser_votes": null, "incumbents_elected": 4, "margin_last_seat": null } ], "council_seats_amo": 4, "system_derived": "at_large", "lowest_winning_votes": null, "reconciled_with_mmah": true, "data_conflict": null }, { "municipality": "Alfred and Plantagenet Tp", "amo_name": "Alfred and Plantagenet, Township of", "electors": 8007, "voted": 3442, "turnout": 0.4299, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 9949, "tier": "Lower", "upper_tier": "United Counties of Prescott & Russell", "system_mmah": "Ward", "council_size_2022_mmah": 5, "council_seats_mmah": 4, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 2, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 4, "all_seats_mmah": 5, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": 1121, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": null, "head_of_council": { "office": "Mayor", "candidates": 4, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 1454, "first_loser_votes": 1105, "margin_last_seat": 349, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.4273 }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Councillor, Ward 1", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 2, "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": true, "last_seat_votes": null, "first_loser_votes": null, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": null }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 2", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 2, "candidates": 3, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 1121, "first_loser_votes": 752, "incumbents_elected": 2, "margin_last_seat": 369 } ], "council_seats_amo": 4, "system_derived": "ward", "lowest_winning_votes": 1121, "wards": { "contested": 1, "acclaimed": 1, "median_last_seat_votes": 1121, "min_last_seat_votes": 1121, "max_last_seat_votes": 1121, "closest_margin": 369 }, "reconciled_with_mmah": true, "data_conflict": null }, { "municipality": "Algonquin Highlands Tp", "amo_name": "Algonquin Highlands, Township of", "electors": 7923, "voted": 2290, "turnout": 0.289, "turnout_source": "mmah", "population_amo": 2588, "tier": "Lower", "upper_tier": "County of Haliburton", "system_mmah": "Ward", "council_size_2022_mmah": 5, "council_seats_mmah": 4, "council_seats_acclaimed_mmah": 2, "vacant_seats_mmah": 0, "incumbents_returned_mmah": 4, "all_seats_mmah": 5, "lowest_elected_councillor_votes_mmah": 798, "regional_councillors_counted_as_council": null, "head_of_council": { "office": "Mayor", "candidates": 2, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 1204, "first_loser_votes": 1064, "margin_last_seat": 140, "winner_share_of_contest_votes": 0.5309 }, "council_contests": [ { "office": "Councillor, Ward 1", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 1, "acclaimed": true, "last_seat_votes": null, "first_loser_votes": null, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": null }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 2", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 2, "candidates": 4, "acclaimed": false, "last_seat_votes": 798, "first_loser_votes": 561, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": 237 }, { "office": "Councillor, Ward 3", "kind": "council", "scope": "ward", "seats": 1, "candidates": 1, "acclaimed": true, "last_seat_votes": null, "first_loser_votes": null, "incumbents_elected": 1, "margin_last_seat": null } ], "council_seats_amo": 4, "system_derived": "ward", "lowest_winning_votes": 798, "wards": { "contested": 1, 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